Break-even win rate calculator
A losing trade costs 100% of the stake; a winning one returns only the payout percentage. That asymmetry sets a minimum win rate before any strategy begins to matter.
Expected result = trades × stake × (win rate × payout − loss rate). It is the average outcome of many trades at a steady win rate, before tax and before deposit or withdrawal costs. Real results scatter widely around it.
How it is calculated
Break-even win rate = 1 ÷ (1 + payout). At a 92% payout you need 52.1%; at 80% you need 55.6%. The lower the payout, the higher the bar — which is why the payout on the asset you trade matters more than any indicator setting.
| Payout | Break-even win rate |
|---|---|
| 92% | 52.1% |
| 88% | 53.2% |
| 85% | 54.1% |
| 80% | 55.6% |
More on what does and does not help is on the strategy page. If you want to test a rule set without risking money, run it on a demo account.
Frequently asked
What win rate do I need at a 92% payout?
About 52.1% just to break even, before tax and conversion costs. Sustaining that over hundreds of trades is hard; sustaining much more is rare.
Why is a lower payout so costly?
Because every loss still costs the full stake. Moving from a 92% to an 80% payout raises the break-even win rate by three and a half percentage points.
Does this include tax?
No. In India winnings are taxed at 30% plus cess with no set-off for losses, which raises the real bar further. Use the tax calculator for that part.
A free, open-source bot for Quotex
IaTraderPro Bot is a free Python robot with 13 built-in strategies and a web dashboard. Point it at a demo account, let it run, and read the log — you can also read every line of its source before you run it. Disclosure: the bot is built by Dan Machado, the author of this site.
- 13 strategies — RSI, MACD, SuperTrend, Ichimoku, Bollinger and nine more, all configurable
- Runs on Quotex and IQ Option — demo or live account, your choice
- Streamlit dashboard — no terminal needed once installed
- Schedule in IST — set session windows in Indian time, not UTC
- Open source — customise it with ChatGPT or Claude without knowing Python
Why this matters in India: running the bot on a demo account is completely legal — no FEMA exposure, no RBI Alert List issue, no taxable event. It is the only way to test a strategy here at zero risk.
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Risk warning. Binary options are high-risk speculative products and the majority of retail traders lose money. A payout percentage is the return on a winning trade, not an expected return. Quotex is not authorised by SEBI and appears on the RBI Alert List; Indian residents remitting funds to unauthorised platforms may be exposed under FEMA and have no local dispute resolution. Nothing on this page is investment, legal or tax advice. Consult a SEBI-registered adviser and a chartered accountant before acting. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose entirely.